Book Review

Joshua Sinai, Ph.D. - ANSER
Senior Analyst, Regional Conflict Division


The problem of defending the U.S. Homeland against potential WMD terrorism is examined by the contributors to Sidney D. Drell, Abraham D. Sofaer, and George D. Wilson (editors), The New Terror: Facing the Threat of Biological and Chemical Weapons (Stanford: Hoover Institution Press, 1999), 512 pages, paperback, $24).

The volume is based on a collection of papers presented by leading experts at a Hoover Institution conference on the threat of biological and chemical weapons (BCW).
The volume's contributors examine the full range issues involved in assessing and responding to the potential terrorist BCW threat. The sections on the potential threat examine a taxonomy of potential terrorist attacks, such as through injection or direct contact of biological agents, food, pharmaceutical and water contamination, animal vectors, and airborne BCW releases. This is accompanied by a discussion about the public health disaster that would occur from a BCW terrorist attack.

A separate section examines the role of the intelligence community in countering the threat through assessment and warning, deterrence and protection, and monitoring arms control regimes. In a highly revealing chapter, John Gannon, the Chairman of the CIA's National Intelligence Council, writes that the CIA has established a Strategic Estimates Program to bring together the appropriate experts to ensure that the right issues and analyses drive the collection efforts against the "correct targets."

These threat assessments are followed by a discussion of what is being done on the federal, state and local levels to prepare an effective response by law enforcement, military, medical and other authorities; the options for preventing, deterring, and mitigating the BCW threat, ranging from implementing a BCW arms control regime to preemptive and preventive strikes, or whether nuclear threats should be used against potential perpetrators as a deterrent, and the major weaknesses that need to be remedied. Some of the other national security luminaries contributing to the volume include former Secretary of State George P. Shultz, Secretary of the Navy Richard Danzig, and foreign policy advisers Richard Haass, of the Brookings Institution, and Condoleezza Rice, of Stanford University.
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